All Matchups For Thursday Night Football Week 15: Los Angeles @ Seattle

If you’re playing a meaningful week 15 game congrats, you should be just one game away from your league’s championship. Remember the #1 rule of fantasy playoffs is don’t get cute. Dance with the players that brought you here and play your studs. If you have a tough decision at a position between players of similar levels matchups are a great way to help you make the right choice. No matter what happens remember all you can do is make the best decision possible and hope it works out. Good luck to everyone this week and let’s make it to the championship!

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff, LA
Matchup: Terrible
There is no scenario were Goff should be started in any 1 QB league. Even in 2 QB leagues I would hope at this point you have better options. In case you’re desperate and thinking about Goff, Seattle is the 10th ranked pass DVOA and allows the 5th fewest points to the position. The Rams offense is a mess and going into Seattle won’t make things easier. Stay away.

Russell Wilson, SEA
Matchup: Good
In the last 3 games Wilson has 8 interceptions and his owners are likely getting worried. Wilson was drafted to help carry teams to the championship and apart from a 3 game stretch in weeks 9, 10, and 11 he has not delivered. The matchup is good as the Rams rank 20th in DVOA and have allowed the 10th most points to the position. Being at home will be a boost as well as the Seahawks are averaging 28.4 points at home versus just 12.5 points on the road. Wilson is a top 10 play this week.

Running Backs

Todd Gurley, LA
Matchup: Terrible
With Benny Cunningham sidelined in week 14 Gurley saw most of the work getting 16 carries and 3 receptions. He turned those 19 touches into 83 yards and a touchdown against one of the worst run defenses in the league. Now he faces one of the best, on the road, in a game were the Rams are projected to score just 11.5 points. Seattle ranks 3rd in run DVOA and is the 4th toughest fantasy defense against the position. Gurley is a tough play in week 15 and is nothing more than a RB2 even if Cunningham sits again.

Thomas Rawls, SEA
Matchup: Average
Rawls has looked great since returning from injury averaging over 5 yards per carry. Unfortunately in two of the games he has been the victim of game flow as Seattle (and specifically Wilson) struggled on the road in Tampa and Green Bay. This week at home should put the game script back in Rawls’ favor and he could be in line for a heavy workload. The Rams aren’t a great matchup as they rank 11th in DVOA and 19th in points allowed to the position, but if Rawls is going to see a high workload he makes for a low end RB1 this week.

Wide Receivers

Kenny Britt, LA
Matchup: Average
Britt has been a great waiver add this year and has emerged as the Rams only true receiving threat. On the season Britt is playing over half his snaps from the left which means he will line up against DeShawn Shead most of the night. Shead is no slouch as he ranks 39th in coverage. When Britt lines up on the right he’ll match up against Richard Sherman who ranks 24th. Britt should be a high end WR3 in week 15.

Doug Baldwin, SEA
Matchup: Average
Assuming Trumaine Johnson doesn’t shadow Baldwin, which seems unlikely, Baldwin will line up against slot corner Lamarcus Joyner. Joyner is having a good year for the Rams and ranks 33rd in coverage. If Johnson does shadow Baldwin the night will be tougher as Johnson ranks 19th in coverage. Even with the matchup Baldwin should win his share against the Rams corners and makes for a high end WR2 in week 15.

Tyler Lockett, SEA
Matchup:  Average
Lockett lines up all over the field and is even used in the running game from time to time so he’ll see all the Rams corners at some point. The Rams as a defense have given up the 6th most points to the position so opportunity exists. Lockett is starting to carve out a bigger role in this offense and should be a WR3 this week.

Tight Ends

Lance Kendricks, LA
Matchup: Bad
Kendricks has only seen 8 targets over his last two games and now gets a Seahawks defense ranked 15th in DVOA against tight ends and giving up the 5th fewest points to the position. Kendricks makes for a risky play in week 15 and will likely need a TD to salvage his day.

Jimmy Graham, SEA
Matchup: Bad
Graham has re-established himself as a top 5 tight end this year after a disappointing 2015 campaign. He draws a tough matchup in week 15, however, as the Rams rank 13th in DVOA against the position and allow the 4th fewest points. Still Graham is a weekly must start in a year were tight end is the most volatile position.

DST

Los Angeles
Matchup: Bad
The Seahawks rank 10th in points allowed to opposing defenses and that’s after giving up a 19 point game to Green Bay last week. With the Rams being such heavy underdogs on the road it’s hard to see the defense being a top option this week. You should be able to find a better defense on the waivers.

Seattle
Matchup: Great
Seattle looks to be the number one defense in week 15. The Rams are giving up the most points to the position averaging almost 2 turnovers and 3 sacks per game. Defenses playing against them are averaging over 14 points. The Seahawks are 15 point favorites at home and the Rams have an implied total of just 11.5 points. Start the Seahawks with confidence this week.

A player I missed? Disagree with my analysis? Let me know in the comments below.

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