This is it, championship week! Win or lose, congrats to all of you who have made it to your league’s finals. That is no small feat. Remember this is not a start/sit. Use it when you have a tough decision between two players at similar levels. Good luck this week and let’s take home the belt!
Eli Manning, NYG
Manning faces an Eagles defense that ranks 3rd in DVOA but are ranked 17th in points allowed. They give up 252 yards per game and 1.57 touchdowns. The real issue here is Manning himself. This has been one of his worst seasons of his career and he has looked downright awful at times. He has 1000 less passing yards and 10 less touchdowns than last season but just 1 less interception. You hopefully have better options this week.
Carson Wentz, PHI
The Giants rank 5th in DVOA and 2nd in points allowed. They have one of the best, and deepest, secondaries in the league. An injury to Janoris Jenkins last week could be a big blow but early reports are he avoided anything serious. Still it may be tough for him to get ready on a short week. Regardless Wentz offers little upside as he’s only topped 15 fantasy points twice in his last 5 games and has yet to score more than 18.5 over that span.
Rashad Jennings, NYG
Jennings has been getting the touches (35 over the last 2 weeks) but has done very little with it totaling just 95 yards. This week he gets an Eagles defense that ranks 12th in DVOA and 11th in points allowed. Jennings should be in-line for at least 15 touches but makes nothing more than a RB3 this week.
Ryan Mathews, PHI
As basically the only healthy running back last week, Mathews overcame a tough matchup against Baltimore and put up a 20-128-1 line adding a 2 point conversion. He gets another tough matchup against a Giants defense ranked 5th in DVOA and 8th in points against. If Darren Sproles is out again Mathews should be in line for another 20 or so touches. Always a threat near the goal line Mathews could make for a low end RB2.
Darren Sproles, PHI
Sproles is set to return from his concussion and should work as the pass catching back. The Giants defense is tough against pass catching backs giving up just 36.5 YPG. Sproles is a PPR play only.
Odell Beckham, Jr., NYG
Beckham lines up all over the field which means he will see a mix of Nolan Carol (ranked 104th), Leodis McKelvin (ranked 82nd) and slot corner Jalen Mills (ranked 120th). Beckham should have no problem against any defender he lines up against. Having now scored 10 touchdowns on the season, Beckham is an obvious WR1 and must start.
Sterling Shepard, NYG
Shepard primarily plays out of the slot which means he will line up against Jalen Mills. His consistency is limited by his lack of targets (9 over last 2 games) but the matchup is great and he could make for a plug and play WR3.
Jordan Matthews, PHI
Matthews will draw slot corner Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (ranked 7th). Matthews sees plenty of volume seeing 10 and 11 targets since returning from injury. However his lack of yards and lack of QB play drag him down to the low end WR2 level. He may be even lower than that in a tough matchup this week.
Will Tye, NYG
The Eagles rank 2nd in DVOA against tight ends and 2nd in points allowed. Tye is already limited in this offense seeing 5 or fewer targets in 5 straight games. He should not be started in any leagues this week.
Zach Ertz, PHI
The Giants secondary has been great against wide receivers but has struggled against tight ends. They rank 28th in DVOA and 20th in points allowed. Ertz is making his yearly end of season surge having seen 15, 13 and 8 targets over his last 3. Wentz is using him as a safety valve as the rookie continues to struggle. Ertz should be a locked in TE1 this week.
New York @ Philadelphia
The Giants have been posting solid fantasy games all year and have not scored less than 6 points since the bye week. They have 3 double digit games in their last 4 and have done so against some tough offenses. They offer a safe floor this week against Wentz and the Eagles.
Philadelphia v New York
The Eagles have been an inconsistent fantasy option this year posting 6 games of 5 or less. The Giants offer a good matchup as they have allowed opposing fantasy defenses to score over 9 points per game. The Eagles make for a solid, if not spectacular, start in week 16.
A player I missed? Disagree with my analysis? Let me know in the comments below.