This is it. The NFL regular season is over and now it’s win or go home for 8 teams. This week offers a nice mix of studs and sleepers so there will be lots of options in DFS. Let’s help make those decisions easier by looking at the tight end matchups for Wild Card weekend.
Oakland @ Houston
Clive Walford, OAK
The Texans ranked 2nd in DVOA and 3rd in points allowed. Walford only caught over 50 yards once all season and is barely startable even in good matchups. In a bad matchup he shouldn’t be owned in any formats this week.
C.J. Fiedorowicz, HOU
The Raiders ranked 23rd in DVOA and 23rd in points allowed. Fiedorowicz is a top target of Brock Osweiler and should be in line for a good day against a Raiders defense that gave up over 1000 yards and 7 touchdowns to the position. He makes for a solid start this week.
Detroit @ Seattle
Eric Ebron, DET
The Seahawks ranked 19th in DVOA but allowed the 4th fewest points to the position. Ebron wasn’t a red zone threat this year (24th in red zone targets among tight ends) but did rank 14th in total targets. I think there are better options this week even in DFS.
Jimmy Graham, SEA
Graham will likely be the chalk this week as the Lions ranked 29th in DVOA and 27th in points allowed. Graham was an integral part of this offense after a disappointing 2015 and should be in line for extra targets with Tyler Lockett out. In such a good matchup he may be worth paying up for.
Miami @ Pittsburgh
Dion Sims, MIA
The Steelers ranked 13th in DVOA and 19th in points allowed. The Dolphins rarely rely on tight ends as Sims saw just 34 targets this year. Sims is unplayable in all formats.
Jesse James, PIT
With Ladarius Green dealing with a concussion and looking unlikely to play, James will find himself as the “guy” for Pittsburgh. Miami presents a good matchup as they ranked 21st in DVOA and 25th in points allowed. Unfortunately James was just not a big part of this offense and will need a touchdown to pay off.
NY Giants @ Green Bay
Will Tye, NYG
The Packers ranked 7th in DVOA and 20th in points allowed. Tye is not a huge part of this offense as he saw just 67 targets on the season. He is pretty much unstartable in all formats.
Jared Cook, GB
Cook has looked good down the stretch and with Randall Cobb expected to miss should be in line for a decent number of targets. The Giants ranked 26th in DVOA and 18th in points allowed. Cook saw 8, 5 and 8 targets over the last 3 weeks and makes for a good pivot from the more expensive tight ends this week.